NHL Value Model· 2025-26
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Matt Duchene

Matt Duchene
C · Top-Line FAge 35SurplusUFA · 3y left57 GP
Contract AAV
$4.5M
Predicted value
$8.4M
Delta
+$3.9M
86%
GP · Pts · PPG
57 · 65 · 0.79
Performance

Percentile rank vs F cohort

Where this player sits in the distribution of every active forward across the league.

Points/Game
83
Points/60 min
88
Goals/60 min
75
TOI/Game (min)
67
PP Points
83
Shots
56
Games Played
0

Season production

Games
57
Goals
23.0
Assists
41.7
Points
64.7
Points/Game
0.79
TOI/Game
16.5 min
PP Points
20.1
Shooting %
18.0%
Goals/60
1.02
Points/60
2.87

Similar players

NHL VALUE MODEL

Predictions reflect what the market currently pays for similar production.

Entry-level deals show large positive deltas by CBA design. UFA and unsigned players have no delta. Stats are projected to 82-game pace.

Data: NHL API + PuckPediaModel: Comps-based weighted AAVLast refresh: Jun 5, 2026, 7:06 AM