NHL Value Model· 2026-27

Ethan Cardwell

Ethan Cardwell
R · Bottom-Six FAge 23-RFA · Year 1 of 17 GPNot enough data

Full contract details, clauses & bonuses on PuckPedia

Why no prediction
The model needs at least 20 games played in the current season to generate a reliable market value. Projecting 82-game rate stats from a smaller sample inflates noise (a player with 5 GP and 5 points projects to 82 points). This player has 7 games played, so predicted value and delta are suppressed until the sample size supports a real calculation.
Current season
Season
Cap hit
$0.9M
Model value
-
Surplus
-
Production
7GP
1Pts
0.14PPG
0 games into 2026-27 · values lean on 2025-26
Actual (7 GP)
Per 82
Goals
1
12
Assists
0
0
Points
1
12
Shots
6
70
PP Points
0
0
PIM
2
23
+/-
-3
-35
Points/Game
0.14
TOI/Game
11.9 min
Shooting %
16.7%
Points/60
0.72
Games played
7
Performance

Percentile rank vs F cohort

Where this player sits in the distribution of every active forward across the league.

Points/Game
17
Points/60 min
15
Goals/60 min
53
TOI/Game (min)
36
PP Points
0
Shots
21
Games Played
41

Similar players

No comps available.
NHL VALUE MODEL

Every value here reflects what the league is actually paying for similar players.

Entry-level players look like big bargains, that's just how their contracts work. Unsigned and free-agent players don't have a value gap yet. And every stat is projected out to a full 82-game season.

Data: NHL API + MoneyPuck.com + PuckPedia + WikipediaModel: Comps-based weighted AAVLast refresh: Jul 11, 2026, 3:02 AM
Hockey Data Models

Hockey Data Models is an independent NHL player value model and salary cap analysis site, pricing every skater against comparable contracts to show cap hit versus open-market value, updated nightly.