NHL Value Model· 2026-27

Julian Lutz

Julian Lutz
C · Bottom-Six FAge 22-RFA · Year 3 of 30 GPNot enough data

Full contract details, clauses & bonuses on PuckPedia

Why no prediction
The model needs at least 20 games played in the current season to generate a reliable market value. Projecting 82-game rate stats from a smaller sample inflates noise (a player with 5 GP and 5 points projects to 82 points). This player has 0 games played, so predicted value and delta are suppressed until the sample size supports a real calculation.
Current season
Season
Cap hit
$0.9M
Model value
-
Surplus
-
Production
0GP
-Pts
-PPG
0 games into 2026-27 · values lean on 2025-26
Actual
Per 82
Goals
-
-
Assists
-
-
Points
-
-
Shots
-
-
PP Points
-
-
PIM
-
-
+/-
-
-
Points/Game
-
TOI/Game
-
Shooting %
-
Points/60
-
Games played
0
Performance

Percentile rank vs F cohort

Where this player sits in the distribution of every active forward across the league.

Points/Game
0
Points/60 min
0
Goals/60 min
0
TOI/Game (min)
0
PP Points
0
Shots
0
Games Played
0

Similar players

No comps available.
NHL VALUE MODEL

Every value here reflects what the league is actually paying for similar players.

Entry-level players look like big bargains, that's just how their contracts work. Unsigned and free-agent players don't have a value gap yet. And every stat is projected out to a full 82-game season.

Data: NHL API + MoneyPuck.com + PuckPedia + WikipediaModel: Comps-based weighted AAVLast refresh: Jul 11, 2026, 3:02 AM
Hockey Data Models

Hockey Data Models is an independent NHL player value model and salary cap analysis site, pricing every skater against comparable contracts to show cap hit versus open-market value, updated nightly.