NHL Value Model· 2026-27

Matthew Poitras

Matthew Poitras
C · Middle-Six FAge 22RFA - unsigned3 GPNot enough data

Full contract details, clauses & bonuses on PuckPedia

Why no prediction
The model needs at least 20 games played in the current season to generate a reliable market value. Projecting 82-game rate stats from a smaller sample inflates noise (a player with 5 GP and 5 points projects to 82 points). This player has 3 games played, so predicted value and delta are suppressed until the sample size supports a real calculation.
Current season
Season
Cap hit
-
Model value
-
Surplus
-
Production
3GP
1Pts
0.33PPG
0 games into 2026-27 · values lean on 2025-26
Actual (3 GP)
Per 82
Goals
1
27
Assists
0
0
Points
1
27
Shots
8
219
PP Points
0
0
PIM
4
109
+/-
1
27
Points/Game
0.33
TOI/Game
12.1 min
Shooting %
12.5%
Points/60
1.65
Games played
3
Performance

Percentile rank vs F cohort

Where this player sits in the distribution of every active forward across the league.

Points/Game
46
Points/60 min
51
Goals/60 min
97
TOI/Game (min)
38
PP Points
0
Shots
93
Games Played
35

Similar players

No comps available.
NHL VALUE MODEL

Every value here reflects what the league is actually paying for similar players.

Entry-level players look like big bargains, that's just how their contracts work. Unsigned and free-agent players don't have a value gap yet. And every stat is projected out to a full 82-game season.

Data: NHL API + MoneyPuck.com + PuckPedia + WikipediaModel: Comps-based weighted AAVLast refresh: Jul 11, 2026, 3:02 AM
Hockey Data Models

Hockey Data Models is an independent NHL player value model and salary cap analysis site, pricing every skater against comparable contracts to show cap hit versus open-market value, updated nightly.