NHL Value Model· 2025-26
Class of 2026 · 32 players

Free agents, 2026

Players entering free agency next offseason, ranked by the model's predicted fair cap hit. Switch between UFA, RFA, or both.

RFA · ranked by predicted value

Predicted market value

The model's estimate of the fair cap hit on the open market. Compare against the player's current AAV for over/underpay signal.

01
Yan KuznetsovRFA
Calgary Flames · D · age 24 · Two-Way / Shutdown
$0.8M
current AAV
$5.0M
+$4.2M vs cap
02
JJ PeterkaRFA
Utah Hockey Club · R · age 24 · Middle-Six F
$1.0M
current AAV
$5.0M
+$4.0M vs cap
03
Colton DachRFA
Edmonton Oilers · C · age 23 · Bottom-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$3.4M
+$2.6M vs cap
04
Denton MateychukRFA
Columbus Blue Jackets · D · age 22 · Two-Way / Shutdown
$0.9M
current AAV
$3.3M
+$2.4M vs cap
05
Emil AndraeRFA
Philadelphia Flyers · D · age 24 · Bottom-Pair D
$0.9M
current AAV
$3.1M
+$2.1M vs cap
06
Oliver KapanenRFA
Montréal Canadiens · C · age 23 · Middle-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.8M
+$1.9M vs cap
07
Noah LabaRFA
New York Rangers · C · age 23 · Bottom-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.7M
+$1.9M vs cap
08
Collin GrafRFA
San Jose Sharks · R · age 24 · Middle-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.7M
+$1.7M vs cap
09
Vincent IorioRFA
New York Rangers · D · age 24 · Bottom-Pair D
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.7M
+$1.8M vs cap
10
Justin SourdifRFA
Washington Capitals · C · age 24 · Middle-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.6M
+$1.8M vs cap
11
Josh SamanskiRFA
Edmonton Oilers · C · age 24 · Bottom-Six F
$1.0M
current AAV
$2.6M
+$1.6M vs cap
12
Jared WrightRFA
Los Angeles Kings · R · age 24 · Bottom-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.6M
+$1.7M vs cap
13
Fraser MintenRFA
Boston Bruins · C · age 22 · Middle-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.6M
+$1.8M vs cap
14
Dominic JamesRFA
Tampa Bay Lightning · C · age 24 · Middle-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.5M
+$1.6M vs cap
15
Zack OstapchukRFA
San Jose Sharks · C · age 23 · Bottom-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.5M
+$1.7M vs cap
16
Arseny GritsyukRFA
New Jersey Devils · R · age 25 · Middle-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.4M
+$1.5M vs cap
17
Braeden BowmanRFA
Vegas Golden Knights · R · age 23 · Middle-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.4M
+$1.6M vs cap
18
Matthew RobertsonRFA
New York Rangers · D · age 25 · Bottom-Pair D
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.4M
+$1.6M vs cap
19
Isak RosenRFA
Winnipeg Jets · R · age 23 · Bottom-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.3M
+$1.4M vs cap
20
Ville KoivunenRFA
Pittsburgh Penguins · R · age 23 · Bottom-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.3M
+$1.5M vs cap
21
Elmer SoderblomRFA
Pittsburgh Penguins · L · age 25 · Bottom-Six F
$1.1M
current AAV
$2.2M
+$1.1M vs cap
22
Jaroslav ChmelarRFA
New York Rangers · R · age 23 · Bottom-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.2M
+$1.3M vs cap
23
Spencer StastneyRFA
Edmonton Oilers · D · age 26 · Bottom-Pair D
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.2M
+$1.3M vs cap
24
Elias Pettersson (D)RFA
Vancouver Canucks · D · age 22 · Bottom-Pair D
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.2M
+$1.3M vs cap
25
Zakhar BardakovRFA
Colorado Avalanche · C · age 25 · Bottom-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$2.1M
+$1.2M vs cap
26
Aatu RätyRFA
Vancouver Canucks · C · age 24 · Bottom-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.0M
+$1.3M vs cap
27
Ozzy WiesblattRFA
Nashville Predators · C · age 24 · Bottom-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$2.0M
+$1.3M vs cap
28
Hunter BrzustewiczRFA
Calgary Flames · D · age 22 · Bottom-Pair D
$0.9M
current AAV
$1.9M
+$0.9M vs cap
29
Adam KlapkaRFA
Calgary Flames · R · age 26 · Bottom-Six F
$1.3M
current AAV
$1.9M
+$0.6M vs cap
30
Hendrix LapierreRFA
Washington Capitals · C · age 24 · Bottom-Six F
$0.8M
current AAV
$1.8M
+$1.0M vs cap
31
Daemon HuntRFA
Minnesota Wild · D · age 24 · Bottom-Pair D
$0.8M
current AAV
$1.8M
+$1.0M vs cap
32
Arttu HyryRFA
Dallas Stars · R · age 25 · Bottom-Six F
$0.9M
current AAV
$1.6M
+$0.8M vs cap
NHL VALUE MODEL

Predictions reflect what the market currently pays for similar production.

Entry-level deals show large positive deltas by CBA design. UFA and unsigned players have no delta. Stats are projected to 82-game pace.

Data: NHL API + PuckPediaModel: Comps-based weighted AAVLast refresh: Jun 5, 2026, 7:06 AM